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Sound Smart at Your Kentucky Derby Party

Turf writer tip: Explain why a horse can win a race and, in the same breath, why it cannot, and you'll never be wrong.

So here are five ways to sound smart talking about the horses at your Derby party on Saturday. Why just five horses and not one for each of the 20 horses entered in Derby? You'll be drinking at your Derby party and won't be able to remember more than that.

·Will Take Charge is the half-brother to Take Charge Indy, who was in a great position to make a move down the home stretch in last year's Derby. But then Take Charge Indy got injured and finished 19th. So Will Take Charge may not have the stamina to make it 1.25 miles.

·Goldencents's trainer is PaulDoug O'Neil, who trained last year's Derby winner I'll Have Another. But as The New York Times reported, "Over 14 years and in four different states, O'Neill received more than a dozen violations for giving his horses improper drugs." So while O'Neil knows what it takes to win Derby, his methods have been called into question and he's (supposedly) being monitored more closely after his success last year.

·Revolutionary's being ridden by three-time Kentucky Derby winning jockey Calvin Borel. And while those wins aren't in the distant past, Borel's been cold in general of late, taking months to pick up his 5,000th win.

·Verrazano is entering the Derby undefeated 4-0, beating a few other Derby entries in the process. Verrazano didn't race as a 2-year-old though; and no horse that debuted at 3 has won the Derby since 18-dickety-two.

·Black Onyx has poor speed compared to the other horses and a clinched a Derby spot with a win against poor competition. You're better than a turf writer though; you're an Eater Louisville reader. So take a stand here, let a day's worthy of Rebel Yell Bourbon take over and tell your fellow revelers this horse has no chance.

·All Kentucky Derby 2013 Coverage [~ELOU~]
·Kentucky Derby: Total of 21 horses enter ahead of Wednesday draw [Daily Racing Form]

[Photo: Will Take Charge, Courtesy Kentucky Derby/Coady Photography]

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